Atụmatụ Roulette Martingale
Atụmatụ roulette Martingale na-eme ka nzọ bụrụ okpukpu abụọ mgbe mfu ọ bụla gasịrị ma laghachi na nzọ mmalite mgbe mmeri gasịrị. Mmeri ọ bụla na-eweghachi mfu niile gara aga gbakwunyere otu unit mmalite. Ibe dị n’okpuru na-egosi ihe nke ahụ na-eme ego egwuregwu, na ihe mere na ọ pụghị ịgbanwe mfu a tụrụ anya.
Kedu otu usoro roulette Martingale si arụ ọrụ?
Tụfuo, mee ka ọ bụrụ okpukpu abụọ. Merie, laghachi na nzọ mmalite. Nke ahụ bụ usoro ahụ niile. Na nzọ mmalite $10 na oke tebụl $500, usoro ahụ na-agwụ mgbe mfu isii gasịrị. Kọlụm ikpeazụ bụ ohere iru nzọụkwụ ahụ na nzọ ego hara nhata, ebe mfu ọ bụla nwere ohere 19/37.
Nzọ mmalite $10, oke tebụl $500. Mgbe mfu isii gasịrị, nzọ na-esote bụ $640, karịa oke ahụ: usoro mmụba ahụ na-agbaji ebe a tụfuru $630. Ohere mfu isii n’usoro na uhie bụ (19/37)^6 = 1.83%, ihe dịka otu ugboro n’ime mbọ 55.
Soro usoro ahụ
Mfu na-eme ka ego nzọ okpukpu abụọ. Mmeri na-alaghachi na mmalite.
Ego nzọ na nsonaazụ dị n’unit nke nzọ mbụ.
Kedu ka oge egwuregwu na-adị?
Obere nzọụkwụ elu, mesịa ọnụ ụzọ ọnyà. Na Martingale roulette, usoro mmụba okpukpu abụọ ọ bụla zuru ezu na-agbakwunye otu nzọ mmalite, ya mere ahịrị ahụ na-arị elu nwayọọ nwayọọ. Usoro nke ruru oke $500 na-eweghachi $630 otu mgbe: 63 n’ime nzọụkwụ ndị ahụ.
- p10 −$1,000
- p25 −$1,000
- median −$1,000
- p75 +$930
- p90 +$1,830
Simulator
Ntọala ọ bụla na-agba oge egwuregwu 2,000 nke nzọ ego hara nhata site n’ego egwuregwu $1,000. Nsonaazụ na-agbanwe ozugbo.
Ọtụtụ oge egwuregwu na-emecha n’uru nta (40.8%), nke ahụ bụ ihe na-adọta mmadụ. Nkezi dị n’okpuru efu (−$66.44) n’ihi na oge egwuregwu tufuru ego buru ibu: usoro mmụba nzọ ahụ rutere oke tebụl na 59.3% nke oge egwuregwu. Onye na-agba nzọ otu ọnụ $10 n’otu ntụgharị ndị ahụ na-atụ anya ịtụfu ihe dị ka $27.
Ugboro ole usoro mfu na-abịa
Nzọ ego hara nhata na wiil otu efu na-atụfu ntụgharị 19 n’ime 37. Ahịrị ọ bụla bụ ohere na otu usoro ntụgharị niile ga-atụfu, na ihe onye na-egwu Martingale, onye na-eme ka nzọ okpukpu abụọ mgbe mfu ọ bụla gasịrị, tufuola ruo mgbe ahụ.
| mfu n’usoro | ohere | ihe dị ka 1 n’ime | e tufuola ruo ugbu a | nzọ na-esote |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 51.4% | 2 | $1 | $2 |
| 2 | 26.4% | 4 | $3 | $4 |
| 3 | 13.5% | 7 | $7 | $8 |
| 4 | 7.0% | 14 | $15 | $16 |
| 5 | 3.6% | 28 | $31 | $32 |
| 6 | 1.8% | 55 | $63 | $64 |
| 7 | 0.94% | 106 | $127 | $128 |
| 8 | 0.48% | 207 | $255 | $256 |
| 9 | 0.25% | 403 | $511 | $512 |
| 10 | 0.13% | 784 | $1,023 | $1,024 |
| 11 | 0.065% | 1527 | $2,047 | $2,048 |
| 12 | 0.034% | 2974 | $4,095 | $4,096 |
| 13 | 0.017% | 5792 | $8,191 | $8,192 |
| 14 | 0.0089% | 11279 | $16,383 | $16,384 |
| 15 | 0.0046% | 21965 | $32,767 | $32,768 |
Ohere ahụ bụ 19/37 a mụbara n’onwe ya otu ugboro kwa mfu, a gụrụ site n’otu ntụgharị e nyere. Oge egwuregwu dị ogologo nwere ọtụtụ ntụgharị ebe usoro dị otú ahụ nwere ike ịmalite, ya mere n’otu mgbede ọ ka nwere ike ime karịa ka otu ahịrị na-egosi.
Usoro mfu iri na ise na-apụta ihe dịka otu ugboro n’ime mbọ 22,000. Nke ahụ dị ka ihe dị mma. Ọ bụghị, n’ihi ihe abụọ. Ntụgharị ọ bụla na-amalite mbọ ọhụrụ, na otu mgbede nwere ọtụtụ narị ntụgharị. Ọ dịghịkwa onye na-eru iri na ise: site na mmalite $10, oke $500 na-akwụsị mmụba okpukpu abụọ mgbe mfu isii gasịrị, nke na-apụta ihe dịka otu ugboro n’ime mbọ 55.
Gịnị mere na ọ pụghị ịgbanwe odds?
Uru a tụrụ anya na-agbakọta. Ọ bụrụ na nzọ ọ bụla n’otu n’otu nwere atụmanya −2.70% nke ego nzọ ya, mgbe ahụ usoro nzọ ọ bụla, n’agbanyeghị otu e si họrọ ego nzọ, nwere atụmanya −2.70% nke ngụkọta e tinyere. Nhọrọ ego nzọ pụrụ ịdabere na nsonaazụ gara aga; ọ pụghị ịdabere na nke na-esote.
a họrọ bᵢ tupu ntụgharị i; Xᵢ = ±1 kwụụrụ onwe ya na bᵢ
Echiche ụgha a na-ahụkarị
Ihe ọchị
Ọtụtụ obere mmeri, otu nnukwu mfu na-adịghị ahụkarị. Ma ọ bụ gị onwe gị na-akwụ ụgwọ claim ahụ.
